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2024-12-13 16:28:52

Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.FTSE China A50 index futures opened 0.80% lower, and closed down 0.89% in the last session.The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index both fell more than 1%.


The 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission was held in Seoul, South Korea. On the 12th, Vice Minister of Commerce Li Fei co-chaired the 28th meeting of the China-ROK Joint Economic and Trade Commission with Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs Jiang Renxian in Seoul, South Korea. The two sides exchanged views on deepening China-ROK industrial chain supply chain, trade and investment, regional and multilateral cooperation, pragmatically promoted related matters, and reached broad consensus.Shenzhen accelerates to build a new generation of world-class automobile cities. The total output of automobiles this year is expected to exceed 2.8 million. Over the past hundred years, many well-known "automobile cities" have emerged continuously in the world automobile industry. As one of the earliest cities to develop new energy industry, Shenzhen has a solid foundation for industrial development, actively seizing the historical opportunity of global automobile industry reform and achieving "overtaking in corners" on new energy automobile tracks. In 2023, the output of new energy vehicles in the city reached 1.733 million, ranking first among cities in China. With the acceleration of intelligent process and the high coordination of industrial chain, a "new generation world-class automobile city" is accelerating in Shenzhen. (Shenzhen Special Zone Daily)HKEx: The database of integrated fund platform funds was launched, and the database of integrated fund platform funds was announced by HKEx, covering more than 2,000 funds approved by the Hong Kong Securities Regulatory Commission, aiming at improving the information transparency of Hong Kong fund investment products.


Good wife set up an intelligent technology company in Quanzhou, and the enterprise search APP shows that Quanzhou Sunguest Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. was established recently, with the legal representative of Cao Caifeng and the registered capital of 500,000 yuan. Its business scope includes: engineering and technical research and experimental development; Network and information security software development; Software development; Digital technology services, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is wholly owned by Haotai.The United States said that the ceasefire agreement in Gaza was close to being reached, but Hamas didn't respond. On the 12th local time, Sullivan, Assistant to the President of the United States for National Security Affairs, held talks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. After the talks, Sullivan told the media that he thought Netanyahu was ready to reach a ceasefire agreement with Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas). According to US media reports on the 12th, sources said that the negotiating position of Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) has softened, and it may agree to the temporary presence of Israeli troops in the Gaza after the ceasefire. However, Hamas has not yet responded to this news.The Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng Technology Index both fell more than 1%.

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